The mental models
behind clear decisions.
When the data is ambiguous and the stakes are high, a good framework beats intuition every time. These are the six models I reach for most.
Tools that cut through the noise.
First Principles
Strip a problem down to its irreducible truths and build up from there. The antidote to reasoning by analogy.
Explore →02Inversion
Instead of asking how to succeed, ask how to guarantee failure — then avoid that. The fastest path to clarity.
Explore →03Second Order
Every decision has consequences, and those consequences have consequences. Think past the first move.
Explore →04Occam's Razor
The simplest explanation that fits the facts is usually right. Complexity is a cost, not a feature.
Explore →05Leverage Points
Systems have places where a small shift produces outsized change. Find them and the rest gets easier.
Explore →06Circle of Competence
Know the edge of what you truly understand. Decisions inside the circle compound; outside it, they break.
Explore →How we approach
every engagement
Mental Models
First principles, inversion, Occam's razor. Mental models that cut through the noise when you need to think clearly.
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Decision Frameworks
When the data is ambiguous and the stakes are high, a good framework beats intuition every time.
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AI Playbooks
Agent orchestration, knowledge graphs, retrieval systems. Real infrastructure for real problems — not theory.
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Systems Thinking
Feedback loops, leverage points, and the structures that shape outcomes before they happen.
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Knowledge Systems
Knowledge graphs, retrieval systems, and AI-powered memory. Information that compounds instead of collecting dust.
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